2004/11/03
The political anti-psychic
I was joking with Mrs. G about the election, saying that the one sure-fire way to tell who's going to win is to ask me for a prediction, then say the opposite.
It's true! I've been alive for ten elections now, and able to form a coherent opinion for eight of them (zip it, you).
I predicted Ford would beat Carter in 76. Wrong.
I predicted Carter would beat Reagan in 80. Wrong.
I predicted Reagan would beat Mondale in 84. Right!!
I predicted Bush would beat Dukakis in 88. Right!!
I predicted Bush would beat Clinton in 92. Wrong.
I predicted Clinton would beat Dole in 96. Right!!
I predicted Gore would beat Bush in 00. Wrong.
I predicted Kerry would beat Bush in 04. Looks pretty wrong at this point.
That's 3/8, or a score of 38%. D!
There. Forget polling, you newspaper people. Just ask me and print the opposite of what I say.
How accurate have your predictions been over the years? Who'd you guess wrong about? Here are the results from earlier elections if you can't remember.
It's true! I've been alive for ten elections now, and able to form a coherent opinion for eight of them (zip it, you).
I predicted Ford would beat Carter in 76. Wrong.
I predicted Carter would beat Reagan in 80. Wrong.
I predicted Reagan would beat Mondale in 84. Right!!
I predicted Bush would beat Dukakis in 88. Right!!
I predicted Bush would beat Clinton in 92. Wrong.
I predicted Clinton would beat Dole in 96. Right!!
I predicted Gore would beat Bush in 00. Wrong.
I predicted Kerry would beat Bush in 04. Looks pretty wrong at this point.
That's 3/8, or a score of 38%. D!
There. Forget polling, you newspaper people. Just ask me and print the opposite of what I say.
How accurate have your predictions been over the years? Who'd you guess wrong about? Here are the results from earlier elections if you can't remember.
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